201 Stephenson Parkway, Suite 2100 Norman, OK 73019

Understanding Uncertainty

Toward Stakeholder Understanding of Product Sensitivities & Uncertainties


Robust design and resilient planning for climate variability/change typically require climate-related products from observations, modeling, and scenarios that currently have undocumented sensitivities and uncertainties. Better understanding of the roots of these uncertainties helps to guide how (or whether) decision makers use a given product and how to make revisions as new information becomes available. This knowledge is especially critical where precipitation varies substantially in both time and space and where competition for natural resources influence and complicate the resilience planning efforts of governments and other resource management groups.


Our Team

Jason Furtado, University of Oklahoma

Cristina Bradatan (co-lead), Texas Tech University

Adrienne Wootten, University of Oklahoma

Karen Castillioni, University of Oklahoma

John Neilson-Gammon (co-lead), Texas A&M University

Jennifer Bryant, Chickasaw Nation

Our Projects

Miletstones & Next Steps for 2021

We are now developing a website to house resource materials (documents, videos, interviews, etc.) as a resource for both scientists eager to communicate uncertainty effectively and stakeholders to understand the types of uncertainty inherent in climate projections and scientific statements.¬†Over the next few months, we’ll be working out ideas for the website, ideally with a prototype and sample content developed over the next few months.¬†