Toward Stakeholder Understanding of Product Sensitivities & Uncertainties
Robust design and resilient planning for climate variability/change typically require climate-related products from observations, modeling, and scenarios that currently have undocumented sensitivities and uncertainties. Better understanding of the roots of these uncertainties helps to guide how (or whether) decision makers use a given product and how to make revisions as new information becomes available. This knowledge is especially critical where precipitation varies substantially in both time and space and where competition for natural resources influence and complicate the resilience planning efforts of governments and other resource management groups.
Jason Furtado, University of Oklahoma
Cristina Bradatan (co-lead), Texas Tech University
Adrienne Wootten, University of Oklahoma
Karen Castillioni, University of Oklahoma
John Neilson-Gammon (co-lead), Texas A&M University
Jennifer Bryant, Chickasaw Nation
Miletstones & Next Steps for 2021
We are now developing a website to house resource materials (documents, videos, interviews, etc.) as a resource for both scientists eager to communicate uncertainty effectively and stakeholders to understand the types of uncertainty inherent in climate projections and scientific statements. Over the next few months, we’ll be working out ideas for the website, ideally with a prototype and sample content developed over the next few months.